“2033, that's when the funds dry, so payments get cut by 25%.”
Market
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033? — Before Jan 1, 2033
“I think among the voting members, there's probably still a majority for staying on hold, though.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
“Ethereum's going to fucking zero, bro.”
Ethereum
Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM? — Above $4,000.00
“we think the market is mispricing the Fed right now. You see a hike priced in by the end of this year, and we just don't think that's gonna happen, Brian.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
“I think for all practical purposes, for most people who own bitcoin, it may as well be going to zero. They're gonna lose almost all of their money.”
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99
“the Fed is now expected to hike, not to cut”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Hike >25bps
“Bitcoin people are like, well the stock market's at all time highs, why is Bitcoin not at all time highs? Well it's not at all time highs because that's not where the momentum is right now. The momentum is in hardware stocks”
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99
“Trump is now one of the most unpopular presidents in history. They're gonna lose the house.”
Politics
Will the Republican party win the House in 2028? — Republican party
“The Nasdaq might be more likely to fall than rise. I think there's a lot of expensive stocks there.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 27900 at the end of Jun 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 27,899.99 or below
“you do not see a cut or a hike for the remainder of the year. Yes? That's correct.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
“saving lives by the thousands, hundreds of thousands, I will suggest to you, when this is approved across the country, and we see it as a a relatively easily studied and accessed by medical care compound”
Market
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2031? — Before 2031
“I think that is gonna be the theme for the remainder of 2026, the continuation of what is a bullish trend.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jun 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“whoever gets to whatever the event horizon of artificial intelligence is, whoever gets there first has massive advantages in a huge way”
AI
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026
“Are we gonna continue this record run for stocks? We will.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jun 25, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“Bitcoin never becomes more valuable. It doesn't throw off any income, doesn't pay rent, it doesn't pay you dividends.”
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99
“what the generic ballot is showing is that, yes, Democrats are favored going into this election cycle. That means that, you know, the the Democrats probably do have a higher chance of taking back the house.”
Politics
Will the Democratic party win the House in 2028? — Democratic party
“if you believe that in a society where stablecoin payments are going to become a lot more popular, if AI is going to become a lot more popular, AI agents are going to become a lot more popular, the amount of value that's transmitted on open blockchains is going to only go up into the right, and a salon is the best L1 blockchain that can enable all these things. And obviously SOL should benefit from all that activity.”
Solana
Will the spot price of Solana be above $180.00 before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET? — Above $180.00
“I actually think that that one of the other really good news items in the data today was that wages went up quite a bit. And and so that happens when productivity goes up. And and when productivity is booming, then, you know, that that's a point where the Fed has room to do exactly what you're saying.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps
“the Republicans are really fucked. Yeah. And And you've got the midterms coming. You got the midterms coming up in November, and it's also the momentum will be in their way.”
Politics
Will the Republican party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Republican party win the Presidency? — Republican Sweep
“if you can cut your cost by 20 x to use robots instead of humans, like, do you think companies like Walmart and Amazon will do that? Right? Like, clearly, the answer is yes.”
Amazon
Will Amazon.com, Inc. report above 1500000 Employees (full-time and part-time; excludes contractors & temporary personnel) in 2026? — Above 1500000
“We should be at 1213% GDP”
Economy
GDP growth in 2029? — 6.1% or Above
“you hear all these people saying we need a popular vote. We can't have the electoral college.”
Market
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030? — Before 2030
“I don't think it's, like, a crazy stretch to go out and say, like, maybe there aren't a whole lot of jobs as we know it that exist”
Jobs
How high will unemployment get before 2030? — Above 10%
“what we hope that means is that's gonna create the space now for to negotiate the end of this war”
Market
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
“there's no signs of this slowing down yet”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jul 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“I still believe that they would have grown deliveries at 20%, which is an acceleration”
Tesla
Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.65 million total production in 2026? — Above 1.65 million
“you're putting your money in just about anything over Ethereum over the next Literally anything. Anything. You're hold you're obviously holding you're obviously holding USD over ETH. Right? Yes. Anything. You're holding dirt over ETH.”
Ethereum
Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM? — Above $4,000.00
“I would be more bullish, and our view is go for cyclical companies that benefit from GDP growth.”
Starbucks
Will Starbucks Corporation report Above 4% comparable transactions growth in 2026? — Above 4%
“Bitcoin is going to continue to lose value relative to coal. Eventually it won't have any value whatsoever”
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99
“We knocked the tariffs down. Let's look at affordability.”
Market
Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $200 billion? — Above $200 billion
“So our view is it's not necessary to hike, and we think that the, majority of the FOMC is gonna be in that camp too.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
“Everything. So think of all the things that rely on all the banking apps, all the all like, everything.”
AI
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr 1, 2027? — Before Apr 1, 2027
“you're gonna see a Fed on hold. You're gonna continue to see those hikes be pushed out.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
“it's gonna be a sovereign debt crisis. And it's not just subprime mortgage borrowers that can't pay back what they borrowed. It's the US government that can't pay what it borrowed.”
Market
Will the national debt hit $50 trillion during the Trump Administration? — $50 trillion
“there's an extremely high chance the next president will be a democrat”
Politics
Will the Democratic party win the House, the Republican party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency? — D-House, R-Senate, D-President
“our best hope for a replacement of petroleum fuels is cold fusion, and we're thirty, forty years from it being something that we can rely upon”
Market
When will nuclear fusion be achieved? — Before 2040
“the senate is just an uphill battle for Democrats. And basically the senate goes through Maine. It's it's it's possible that they win the senate. They need to win four seats net, in order to take back the senate. It's it's possible they can do that with Maine. It's really difficult though.”
Politics
Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 121st Congress? — Below 45
“it's just gonna get the worst. I mean, now, even if you look at the energy. Right? Like, most energy most new data centers are using LNG, which is liquid natural gas, because you can't really have any other way to power these systems.”
Market
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030? — Before 2030
“the market should continue with the strength”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jul 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“I think it's probably gonna be much more gradual than we think. It's it won't be a moment. It won't be it won't be as if somebody arrived and nobody else has. I don't think it's gonna be like that. I think it's gonna be things that just get better and better and better better just like technology does.”
AI
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030? — Before Jan 1, 2030
“But I think the MEG seven comes back and gets back into the forefront and the hyperscalers as well.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jul 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“Solana bottom is in. I'm gonna say Solana bottom is in.”
Solana
Will the spot price of Solana be above $300.00 before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET? — Above $300.00
“this is only gonna get more intense in the next year or two as the models get even more powerful”
AI
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026
“you would have assumed that when Bitcoin dumped down, it would have went way lower than 60,000, and it didn't. So that makes me a little bit more bullish”
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? — Above $99,999.99
“we respect the independence of Fed and have high confidence that chair chairman Worsch is gonna be able to convince his colleagues the same thing that you talked about”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps
“I also think it'll go up 10 x, of course. But my tell you that. I said I was gonna go Tenex about Yeah, bro. $6,600. I did. I literally”
Solana
Will the spot price of Solana be above $160.00 before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET? — Above $160.00
“I think that's next, genuinely. Oh my god. I think that's next.”
Market
Will any part of Cuba be the 51st U.S. state before Jan 20, 2029? — Cuba
“what's powering the economy should continue to power the economy, which is AI spend”
Economy
GDP growth in 2027? — 1.1% to 1.5%
“we're we're just, like, in vertical takeoff mode in terms of AI development acceleration. Mhmm. It's like an unstoppable force. Right. So we're gonna solve physical intelligence.”
Space
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? — Before 2035
“I do agree. I think directionally in the second half, the movement is going to be higher.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jul 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“whoever builds AGI first owns the fucking world”
AI
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026? — Before Oct 1, 2026
“Last quarter, 30 to 60% cloud growth, and that's gonna continue. And eventually, it's going to get valued by the market. So I would stick with the hyperscalers, the large cap tech, because I think the market's gonna rerate over time.”
Markets
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30699.9900 at the end of Jul 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT? — 30,700 or above
“I think that they're gonna is a is a good choice to have in a portfolio. I think that they're gonna really commercialize Optimus and make that a success.”
Tesla
Will Tesla, Inc. report above 145000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026? — Above 145000
“the setting the the the senate is just an uphill battle for Democrats. And basically the senate goes through Maine. It's it's it's possible that they win the senate. They need to win four seats net, in order to take back the senate. It's it's possible they can do that with Maine. It's really difficult though.”
Politics
Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 121st Congress? — Below 45
“we predicted that there's no way in hell in ten years cloud be able keep cloud will be capable of actually handling the demand”
Market
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030? — Before 2030
“what we hope that means is that's gonna create the space now for to negotiate the end of this war”
Market
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
“I think this is gonna blow it away.”
Economy
Will Trump bring back manufacturing? — Before 2029
“So it does feed your general view that we'll get rate cuts before hikes.”
Fed
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting? — Cut >25bps
“In 2028, unless the Democrats have coalesced around a more sort of centrist message, you know, this could absolutely, you know, have big implications going into the general election.”
Politics
Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028? — Democratic party
“I really believe it's, ready.”
Market
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
“I think this will implications for 2028, which is obviously a national election.”
Politics
Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028? — Democratic party
“I really believe it's, ready.”
Market
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027